Three days ago, there was a sudden jump in the number of serious/critical cases of COVID-19 across the globe. The reason was Brazil just started reporting this number and more than 6000 was added to the world tally in one day. Anomalies like this make it difficult to see the trend. To help in detecting a trend, a moving average is quite useful. This procedure smooths daily numbers such that we no longer see dramatic drops or increases. With this tool, a trend becomes much more visible. That trend is: We are very likely at an apex in both COVID-19 cases and deaths. Of course, this is not true for all countries. Italy, for instance, is already past the apex. Italy reached its apex for cases sometime in the end of March.
Italy reached an apex in COVID-19 deaths in the first week of April.
New York has also reached an apex on both cases and deaths. On cases, it was about a week ago.
On deaths, we have a similar picture.
Virginia is probably at the apex this week.
The entire globe seems to be at an apex.
And my old graph on serious/critical cases around the globe is showing the same trend.
A great lesson.
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